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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
38791873984189RN1pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)45% (5764–6946, n=12710)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)49% (345–353, n=698)
Consensus PnL$24K$13.4M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus48% (63 of 130 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=391—MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 7% of 326)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢64% (won 48% of 1149)22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 64% of 162)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 90% of 164)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market38791873984189RN1pleaseplease123
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $4.2KRinky Hijikata $41K—
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
Jan Kumstat $2.6KJan Kumstat $9.7K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $738Mary Stoiana $10K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $952No $7.7K—
Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker
same side · consensus Michal Krajci
Michal Krajci $495Michal Krajci $270—