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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | surfandturf | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5792–6984, n=12776) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.4K | -$77K | $5.8M | -$352K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (94 of 185 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | surfandturf | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Magic | Wizards $596 | — | — | Magic $19K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | Bears $1.5K | — | — | Seahawks $11K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | Bears $154 | — | — | Seahawks $10K |
| Chennai Open: Jil Teichmann vs Joanna Garland opposite sides · consensus Jil Teichmann | Jil Teichmann $107 | — | — | Joanna Garland $395 |