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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6512395314597884BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (1676–1561, n=3237)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #474PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)90% (146 of 163 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 10% of 471)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 41% of 615)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 71% of 722)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 90% of 436)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6512395314597884BreakTheBankRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $16K—Lorenzo Musetti $46K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $10K—Ignacio Buse $42K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $2.2K—Mary Stoiana $21K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone $270—Mariano Navone $3