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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6512395314597884beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (1676–1561, n=3237)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #474was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)100% (2 of 2 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 10% of 471)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 41% of 615)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 71% of 722)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 90% of 436)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6512395314597884beachboy4RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $10K—Ignacio Buse $42K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $2.2K—Mary Stoiana $21K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone $270—Mariano Navone $3