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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6kke1tBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (933–1180, n=2113)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1095–631, n=1726)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$103K$7.7M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #297PM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (34 of 38 open)71% (70 of 98 open)53% (77 of 146 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won53% of 1606 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 19% of 498)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 42% of 388)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 67% of 314)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 96% of 406)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6kke1tBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $41Yes $97
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421KNo $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—