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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (421–148, n=569)44% (106–136, n=242)68% (300–138, n=438)
Consensus PnL—$46K$279K-$51K
Tracked asPM monthly #43PM monthly #19PM monthly #29PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (26 of 41 open)43% (3 of 7 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
—Alexander Shevchenko $345Adrian Mannarino $3.5K—
Hersonissos 3: Lorenzo Angelini vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
—Robin Bertrand $7—Lorenzo Angelini $185
Victoria Women T20I: Rwanda Women vs USA Women
opposite sides · consensus Rwanda Women
—Rwanda Women $1USA Women $56—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $205Lorenzo Sonego $437—