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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)51% (578–546, n=1124)62% (395–247, n=642)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$16K$4.5M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #342PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus37% (65 of 178 open)100% (1 of 1 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +12 pts n=218, ROI +2%
  • F1 +20 pts n=22, ROI −18%
  • MLB +14 pts n=24, ROI −25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won77% of 331 at avg 63¢, ROI −23%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 56% of 18)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 52% of 86)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 75% of 110)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 99% of 117)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.