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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Aceplus3BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)
Consensus PnL$17K$8.4M-$9.5M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #916PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)71% (5 of 7 open)56% (18 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAceplus3BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.7K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
——Coco Gauff $71KCoco Gauff $56K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
——Keisuke Saitoh $31KKeisuke Saitoh $35K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai
same side · consensus Shintaro Imai
——Sho Katayama $187Sho Katayama $29