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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AgricultureSecretaryBreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)85% (3944–703, n=4647)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$216K$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus22% (6 of 27 open)74% (72 of 97 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicFinance ±0 pts, n=108———
Settled positions, side won82% of 4328 at avg 80¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 12% of 666)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 48% of 187)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)0%
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 67% of 176)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 3299)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAgricultureSecretaryBreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $150No $184K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $590No $35K——