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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AgricultureSecretaryRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Record (consensus markets)85% (3944–703, n=4647)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$216K$13.4M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus22% (6 of 27 open)61% (28 of 46 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicFinance ±0 pts, n=108———
Settled positions, side won82% of 4328 at avg 80¢, ROI +1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 12% of 665)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 48% of 187)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 67% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 3300)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.