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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AgricultureSecretary | sainttroplay | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (3944–703, n=4647) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $216K | $4.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 22% (6 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Finance ±0 pts, n=108 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 4328 at avg 80¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 12% of 665) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 48% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 67% of 176) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 99% of 3300) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AgricultureSecretary | sainttroplay | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $150 | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $590 | — | — | No $35K |