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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (10 of 18 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (79 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $54 | — | — | Raiders $24K |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $1.1K | — | — | Raiders $171K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $28 | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K |