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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | RN1 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 63% (92 of 146 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | RN1 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Raiders $27 | Jets $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $650 | Ravens $847 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $334 | Falcons $591 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $206 | Falcons $321 | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $685 | Bills $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $238 | Buccaneers $1.3K | — | — |