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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Anon455 | RN1 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1430–892, n=2322) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$163K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #679 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=276 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1797 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 313) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 341) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 70% of 497) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 91% of 646) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Anon455 | RN1 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $231 | No $7.7K | — | — |