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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AppleTiime | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (211–228, n=439) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | -$23K | $7.6M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #488 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 73% (111 of 152 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | College Football −10 pts, n=63 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 428 at avg 47¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 46) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 42% of 159) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 51% (won 56% of 220) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AppleTiime | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | Alexandra Eala $4.1K | — | — | Claire Liu $8.7K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | No $337K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $292K | Yes $11K | — |