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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (286–325, n=611) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.4K | $3.3M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 57% (83 of 145 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $926 | — | — | Eagles $8.7K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $311 | — | — | Under $1.3K |