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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BABELCONSTELFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)82% (314–69, n=383)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL-$551K$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #304PM monthly #22PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)67% (200 of 300 open)64% (14 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +11 pts n=255, ROI +9%
  • NFL +15 pts n=81, ROI +12%
  • NHL +11 pts n=95, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −8 pts, n=15Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 3% of 29)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 69% of 42)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 79% of 103)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 98% of 552)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBABELCONSTELFlaznorpprimm
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $343Eastern Michigan $2.4K