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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (314–69, n=383) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $3.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #310 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 67% (299 of 447 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 63% (183 of 289 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 723 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 549) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
89 on the same side, 58 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $15K | No $5.5K | — | No $2.2K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $10K | — | Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $20K | — | Yes $162 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.1K | — | No $9.0K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Arthur Fils $5.4K | — | Tomas Machac $2.3K |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.5K | — | Over $1.1K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4.1K | — | Over $3.1K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.9K | — | No $77 |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.4K | — | Yes $3.0K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | — | Olympiakós SFP $3 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.8K | — | Over $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | — | Under $26 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $1.3K |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | — | Yes $35 |
| Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $191 |
| Como 1907 leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | — | No $734 |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $748 | — | Under $1.2K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.8K | — | Under $29 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $1.8K |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.7K | — | Under $6 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $36 | — | No $1.5K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $39 | — | No $1.5K |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $245 | — | Over $990 |
| Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $4 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $19 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | — | Over $268 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | — | No $677 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $26 | — | Over $685 |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $220 | — | Over $460 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $220 | — | Hawks $426 |
| PSV leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $554 | — | Yes $88 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $273 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $436 | — | Yes $106 |
| Will Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $155 | — | Yes $322 |
| Ball State vs. UMass opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | UMass $444 | Ball State $18 | — |
| Exact Score: PSV 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $338 | — | No $41 |
| Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $338 | — | No $25 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $103 | — | Under $169 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | — | Anna Siskova $216 | — | Marie Weckerle $43 |
| Will Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $206 | — | Yes $29 |