← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (335–71, n=406) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6492–5997, n=12489) | 50% (1106–1119, n=2225) |
| Consensus PnL | -$561K | $7.9M | $3.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #445 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 79% (27 of 34 open) | 73% (163 of 222 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.1K | No $90K | — | — |