← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bagwell306 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (3813–2705, n=6518) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $245K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #499 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 63% (29 of 46 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 3322 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 95% of 210) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 99% of 1771) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 100% of 1062) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 99% of 279) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bagwell306 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $2.1K | — | Chiefs $152K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |