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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BanfieldChris | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (29–19, n=48) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $7.7M | $3.6M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #958 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #55 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 28 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 71% (won 100% of 20) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BanfieldChris | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Chargers $2.4K | Texans $2.7K | — |