Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bb2de66666BreakTheBankFlaznorpS-Works
Record (consensus markets)42% (47–66, n=113)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$27K$7.7M$4.1M$3.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #826PM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #55
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)85% (29 of 34 open)68% (93 of 136 open)86% (6 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicEsports −9 pts, n=103—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won43% of 109 at avg 52¢, ROI +13%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 23% of 13)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 35% of 37)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 40% of 40)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 79% of 19)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBb2de66666BreakTheBankFlaznorpS-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $8.5K—T1 $5—