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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (1372–1905, n=3277) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $650K | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (132 of 198 open) | 69% (77 of 112 open) | 64% (35 of 55 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=106 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 3627 at avg 66¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 7% of 1043) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 177) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 67% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 97% of 2231) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1 | Yes $30K | — | — |