Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Biggggggggjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (1348–1840, n=3188)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (875–457, n=1332)47% (14178–15785, n=29963)
Consensus PnL$631K$5.6M$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (178 of 235 open)no open consensus position72% (91 of 127 open)58% (19 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=105—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won68% of 3485 at avg 66¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 8% of 963)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 174)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 67% of 172)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 97% of 2176)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiggggggggjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $171—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4—No $43—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $13—