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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Biggggggggjoseph00677primmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)17% (1482–7264, n=8746)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$564K$3.3M$3.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #6PM monthly #48PM monthly #55
Sides with the consensus85% (182 of 215 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)88% (7 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=114——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won66% of 3918 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 7% of 1181)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 182)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 68% of 182)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 98% of 2373)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.