← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (612–1739, n=2351) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #541 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (64 of 131 open) | 88% (133 of 151 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather −5 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 1358 at avg 35¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 19% of 774) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 66% of 157) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 85% of 151) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 97% of 276) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | Yes $14K | — | — |