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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | sainttroplay | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (608–1728, n=2336) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | $4.4M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #541 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (61 of 126 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 55% (12 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather −5 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 1353 at avg 35¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 18% of 769) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 66% of 157) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 85% of 151) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 97% of 276) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.