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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bilberry | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (2667–2430, n=5097) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (1028–1028, n=2056) | 47% (14023–15521, n=29544) |
| Consensus PnL | $47K | $11.1M | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #925 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (22 of 34 open) | 40% (39 of 97 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 50% (41 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 3501 at avg 40¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 44% (won 18% of 1527) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 5% (won 94% of 49) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 43% of 707) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 42% (won 99% of 382) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 62% of 629) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 49% (won 99% of 446) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 85% of 638) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bilberry | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $207K | — | Pelicans $1.1K |
| Bears vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | Bears $170K | Seahawks $72 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $46K | — | Pelicans $360 |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Hawks $190 | — | Pacers $110 |
| Spread: Bears (-1.5) same side · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Seahawks $49 | Seahawks $18 |