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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlondBeast | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (736–287, n=1023) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (15 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (147 of 164 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=35 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 811 at avg 68¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 14% of 166) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 43% of 67) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 77% of 88) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 95% of 490) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlondBeast | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $73 | — | No $25K | — |