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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bozos14Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)49% (140–146, n=286)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL$29K$4.1M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #724PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)71% (110 of 154 open)no open consensus position70% (16 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢48% (won 100% of 64)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 66)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 4)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBozos14Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $3.2K——Lions $2.7K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.5K—Chiefs $50K