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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBank00gringo00primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (73 of 99 open)no open consensus position44% (7 of 16 open)63% (20 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBank00gringo00primmRN1
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
——Buccaneers $3.0KFalcons $2.7K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $51K——Magic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $13K——Magic $161