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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | BrotherObama | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (23–20, n=43) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (233–198, n=431) |
| Consensus PnL | $543K | $65K | $430K | $261K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (7 of 10 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (66 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 86% of 7 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 75% of 4) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | BrotherObama | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Warriors $15K | — | Rockets $30K |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $33K | — | — | Thunder $5.9K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $563 | — | — | Thunder $5.2K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $111 | — | — | Thunder $4.4K |