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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | CoffeeDespiser | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 50% (842–838, n=1680) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$67K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | — | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (47 of 67 open) | 53% (8 of 15 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=696 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1735 at avg 49¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 23% (won 10% of 396) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 29% (won 43% of 502) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 27% (won 58% of 461) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 22% (won 86% of 376) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | CoffeeDespiser | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9M | Yes $5.6K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $33K | No $10K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $125K | No $4.1K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $42K | No $7.5K | — |