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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCrypto-JoeFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)64% (91–52, n=143)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.7K$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #882PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)89% (8 of 9 open)71% (198 of 279 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)11% (won 18% of 11)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 47% of 19)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)27% (won 81% of 26)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)42% (won 93% of 41)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCrypto-JoeFlaznorp
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $94KYes $14K—