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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCrypto-JoeFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)64% (91–52, n=143)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.7K$3.5M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #888PM monthly #23PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)90% (9 of 10 open)72% (169 of 235 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)11% (won 18% of 11)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 47% of 19)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)27% (won 81% of 26)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)42% (won 93% of 41)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCrypto-JoeFlaznorpndb1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $66KYes $14K——
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8——Yes $1.0M
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K——No $335K