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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 65% (90–49, n=139) | 50% (1103–1116, n=2219) | 47% (13828–15322, n=29150) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $5.9K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #881 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (15 of 28 open) | 70% (7 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (41 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 11% (won 18% of 11) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 47% of 19) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 27% (won 81% of 26) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 42% (won 93% of 41) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $170K | Yes $14K | — | — |