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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDavidShekel
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)68% (387–178, n=565)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$169K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #315
Sides with the consensus83% (156 of 189 open)72% (28 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • F1 +21 pts n=92, ROI −12%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=256, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=17, ROI +36%
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)24% (won 19% of 129)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 74% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)16% (won 90% of 86)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)55% (won 99% of 297)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.