Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankDavidShekel
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)68% (387–178, n=565)
Consensus PnL$5.8M$11.0M$169K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #315
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)83% (156 of 189 open)72% (28 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • F1 +21 pts n=92, ROI −12%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=256, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=17, ROI +36%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93—NFL −7 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 79% of 58)24% (won 19% of 129)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 74% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 194)16% (won 90% of 86)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)55% (won 99% of 297)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankDavidShekel
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $24KYes $258
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $5
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KYes $45
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $364Yes $17