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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankEthanael02joseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)63% (97–57, n=154)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$9.4M-$6.5K$5.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #813PM monthly #1PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)0%12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)9% (won 86% of 7)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 92% of 25)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)59% (won 96% of 46)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankEthanael02joseph00677primm
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56KYes $6.2K——