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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Hauchn | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (310–15, n=325) | 49% (33–34, n=67) | no settled market | 67% (4–2, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $35K | $117K | -$82K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (32 of 38 open) | 70% (176 of 253 open) | 57% (8 of 14 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | Finance −1 pts, n=121 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 89% (won 2% of 108) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 43% of 7) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 5% (won 100% of 6) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Hauchn | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | Bills $217K | Bills $77 | — | — |