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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Kaczka | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 52% (428–403, n=831) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $12K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (16 of 29 open) | 69% (309 of 446 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (39 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 4% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 72% of 125) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 62% (won 88% of 347) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 11% (won 92% of 62) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Kaczka | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $218K | Pacers $3.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $30K | Pelicans $569 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $742 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $14K | Bucks $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $357 | Pacers $326 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $323 | Pelicans $72 | — | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $90K | Pistons $4.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $880 | Celtics $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $442 | Pistons $1.0K | — | — |