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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NagastaBagambi | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (310–15, n=325) | 49% (33–34, n=67) | no settled market | 75% (9–3, n=12) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $35K | — | $84K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #40 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (33 of 38 open) | 67% (164 of 243 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 96% of 25 at avg 35¢, ROI +65% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 36% (won 100% of 9) | 5% (won 95% of 59) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 56% (won 93% of 14) | 40% (won 99% of 512) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 8% (won 100% of 2) | 50% (won 100% of 633) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 65) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NagastaBagambi | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | Bills $217K | Bills $77 | — | — |