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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpgod83743894ndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)15% (4049–22979, n=27028)63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$163K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #237PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)76% (74 of 97 open)83% (49 of 59 open)75% (76 of 102 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Weather −8 pts, n=17386NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%13% of 20935 at avg 21¢, ROI −7%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)85% (won 0% of 17885)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)1% (won 39% of 170)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)1% (won 54% of 226)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)13% (won 97% of 2654)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpgod83743894ndb1
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23K—No $178—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K