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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpisco22ndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)62% (156–97, n=253)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$51K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10was PM monthly #693PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)66% (102 of 155 open)0% (0 of 1 open)73% (111 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%71% of 232 at avg 62¢, ROI +9%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)14% (won 55% of 33)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)56% (won 74% of 131)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)29% (won 74% of 68)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpisco22ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K——No $337K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292K——Yes $11K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.2K—No $18K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Alexandra Eala $5.7KAlexandra Eala $5.9K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $28—No $115