Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)45% (10–12, n=22)46% (263–303, n=566)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$5.3M-$164K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #2PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus85% (29 of 34 open)74% (130 of 176 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $136—No $35K