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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677TheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)45% (10–12, n=22)69% (182–83, n=265)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$5.3M-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus79% (27 of 34 open)73% (163 of 222 open)no open consensus position57% (209 of 369 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 33% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)14% (won 84% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)12% (won 90% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)62% (won 99% of 110)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677TheWindKnowsmyName
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407K——Yes $853
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22K——No $4