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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)74% (421–148, n=569)no settled market44% (106–136, n=242)
Consensus PnL$779K$46K—$279K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #19PM monthly #7PM monthly #29
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)65% (28 of 43 open)no open consensus position43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
—Alexander Shevchenko $345—Adrian Mannarino $3.5K
Victoria Women T20I: Rwanda Women vs USA Women
opposite sides · consensus Rwanda Women
—Rwanda Women $1—USA Women $56
Hersonissos 3: Ioannis Xilas vs Sergey Fomin
same side · consensus Ioannis Xilas
—Ioannis Xilas $571—Ioannis Xilas $1.8K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $205—Lorenzo Sonego $437