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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677tetrose
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)53% (131–115, n=246)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$5.6M$86K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #16PM monthly #1was PM monthly #721
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)66% (162 of 247 open)no open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%56% of 301 at avg 42¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)46% (won 15% of 137)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 80% of 35)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)16% (won 85% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)27% (won 99% of 81)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677tetrose
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $7.1KCeltics $215——