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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1plusti
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)94% (15–1, n=16)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$4.8M$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #93was PM monthly #883
Sides with the consensus91% (30 of 33 open)74% (176 of 237 open)72% (67 of 93 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)27% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)73% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1plusti
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $280K—Yes $11K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $985No $18K—
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $23—Under $4.2K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $67—Under $3.3K
FK Kharkiv vs. FK Karpaty Lviv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6—Under $1.5K