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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (136–151, n=287) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.2M | $321K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #45 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 67% (192 of 285 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 86% of 155 at avg 50¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 4% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 47% (won 79% of 73) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 43% (won 92% of 66) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 6% (won 90% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $204K | Pistons $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.6K | Celtics $215 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $954 | Pistons $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $277 | Jazz $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | Hawks $193 | — | — |